I have my popcorn 🍿 out for the drama that is the Sam Altman v. Elon Musk feud. Who needs Netflix? But I had four reactions to OpenAI’s public response to the Musk lawsuit that are unrelated to their drama.
1️⃣ My, how scared Musk was of Google as a formidable AI juggernaut of an organization!
I mean, we knew he helped form OpenAI to prevent Google from becoming what he perceived would be the Evil AI Overlord, but, wow.
And look where Google is today.
In 6 years, the company went from a perception as AI G.O.A.T to a.i. goat (intentional lowercase 🙃 ) — for now, anyways. I keep the faith…
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2️⃣ If more people understood this statement from Musk, they’d have bought Nvidia stock a long time ago and wouldn’t be shaking their heads today:
“If historical trends are any indication, progress in AI is primarily driven by systems - compute, data, infrastructure.”
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3️⃣ For someone so smart and successful, goodness, Elon’s powers of prediction can be poor.
Recall we should have been zipping around in self-driving cars by now, according to one of his many faulty prognostications.
Another doozy of his from one of the several 2018 emails OpenAI published (which I found tacky, btw. Am I alone there?):
“My probability assessment of OpenAI being relevant to DeepMind/Google without a dramatic change in execution and resources is 0%.”
He was right on the resources, but certainly not where they'd come from as highlighted in my fourth point...
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4️⃣ Love how Microsoft wasn’t even on Elon’s radar as a company OpenAI could partner with for funding (in one email he mentions Apple or Amazon as having deep enough pockets, but a culture mismatch).
But were they really on any of our radars for that role at the time?
👑 Satya Nadella, I would pay handsomely for a strategy course taught by you.
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The fodder for my comic this Sunday is plentiful, but I had to do a mini midweek one for this.
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